A recent poll reveals a narrowing gap in the New York City mayoral race, with former governor Andrew Cuomo trailing Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani by a slim margin. The New York State Assemblyman holds 43.9 percent support compared to Cuomo’s 39.4 percent, while Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa garners 15.5 percent. The survey, conducted by AtlasIntel—a polling firm recognized for its accuracy in the 2024 and 2020 elections—highlights shifting dynamics as Election Day approaches.
Cuomo, who emphasized momentum in a statement, claimed the race is “going to win” with increased voter participation. Earlier polls had shown Mamdani with a broader lead, but the updated numbers underscore heightened competition. Over 735,000 voters cast ballots during the city’s nine-day early voting period, surpassing the 2021 mayoral election but falling short of the 1.1 million early votes in last year’s presidential race. Crowds at some polling stations remained dense, with long lines reported in downtown Brooklyn.
Cuomo intensified his campaign efforts Monday, touring all five boroughs and criticizing Mamdani by comparing a potential administration to left-wing governments in Latin America. Meanwhile, Mamdani began the day crossing the Brooklyn Bridge with a banner and rallying progressive supporters online. Sliwa, founder of the Guardian Angels, honored a woman who died in a fire at a subway station.
Elon Musk publicly endorsed Cuomo on Monday, urging voters to “VOTE CUOMO” and framing support for Sliwa as backing Mamdani. The poll, which surveyed 2,400 voters with a 2 percentage point margin of error, also indicated Cuomo would prevail in a two-way matchup against Mamdani. However, the party breakdown of respondents skewed toward Republicans and independents, contrasting with early voting data that showed Democrats dominating at 73 percent.